This, combined with a pretty aggressive approach, makes him somewhat risky from some teams’ perspectives, who see a first baseman with below-average plate discipline, but we think he’s a safe bet to be a .340 to .360 wOBA guy even with how swing-happy he can be.Gray is an athletic, undersized conversion arm with big time arm-acceleration. He’s flexible and loose, currently sitting 87-93 with a four and two-seamer that Silva complements with a slurvy breaking ball and immature changeup. And star is apt because that’s the kind of projection Robinson’s tools allow for. He’s also shagging been balls in the outfield and might play a multi-positional role.We hoped you liked reading 2020 Top 100 Prospects by Eric Longenhagen!Robinson is a prototypical outfield power projection bat whose swing has a good foundation, but needs refinement.Even if the swing never gets to a place where Swaggerty is hitting for as much power as seemed possible in college, he’s a plus center field defender with contact skills.Witt has plus power, speed, and glove. But in his final start, the Tigers shelled him and his velocity was down, and an MRI revealed he would need Tommy John. His skills now are quite soft, as he posted a weak 4.86 SIERA, and without another better than average BABIP and LOB%, he’ll need to improve those skills or risk pitching himself out of the rotation.I think you’re probably selling Bohm short.
Despite that, and especially in spite of the wrist injury, the beefcake Wisconsinite hit .291/.364/.540 with 23 dingers and 20 steals across three levels, and reached Double-A as a young 20-year-old. Contreras also has quite a bit more raw power than his 2019 output would suggest. He’s slotted between Teng and right-handed pitcher Camilo Doval. 5 starter.-I think both Marchan and Duran sound like really interesting prospects, and I would be all over them if the Phillies wanted to trade with me.Ortiz is a prospect of extremes: he signed for $4 million at age 16, and had 70 raw power as a 15-year-old (some scouts call it an 80 now) when he weighed around 250 lbs. He’s back and poised to compete for a rotation spot.After stalling at the upper levels as a sinker/curveball guy, Keller added a slider and recaptured some of his previous prospect shine.Rodriguez was shut down with an elbow issue in July and didn’t pitch for the rest of the summer.
His entire repertoire is capable of missing bats, like Manning’s, but Mize’s split is superior to Manning’s change and he has an additional weapon, the cutter, that Manning does not.Because Hall’s release is inconsistent, not only did his walk rate regress in 2019, but the quality of his secondary stuff was also less consistent than it was during his very dominant mid-summer stretch in 2018, when Hall’s changeup clearly took a leap. Even the guys with some upside potential have high floors–Bohm, Garcia, Medina, Howard, Llovera–have pretty stable profiles, even for those guys in low levels. He’s going to have three out-pitches thanks to adjustments he’s already made, and it’s fair to assume he’ll be able to make more. Now 29 teams and their evaluators are cursing themselves for either failing to notice that upward trend throughout the 2018 spring, or for noticing but lacking conviction in the draft room.Rocchio’s 2019 triple slash line (.250/.310/.373) is not all that impressive at first glance, but it was enough for a 107 wRC+ at the level, and remember Rocchio was just 18. Switch-hitting shortstops with power, uh, don’t really exist. FanGraphs does not have a paywall. So while he’s had nothing but goofy strikeout rates for two years, we think Skubal ends up more toward the middle of a rotation rather than the front.An ultra-athletic and competitive lefty with a deep, dynamic repertoire that is elevated by Gore’s deceptive mechanics.Groshans looked good while he was healthy last year but the severity of his injury concerns some teams.Waters is tooled-up center fielder with a horrendous approach.I don’t think he’s a shortstop. His swing is a lot like Pache’s right now, which is indicative of some of his issues but also how athletic Contreras is for a catcher. He’s a front-end arm with heightened injury risk.Garcia has terrific feel for contact but is too swing happy to get to his average power in games, since he often swings at pitcher’s pitches.He throws a cutter, slider, curveball, and changeup that all flash above-average, with the slider occasionally flashing plus. Aside from the questions that arose as teams scrutinized Rutschman’s medicals with a magnifying class before the draft (described to me as “stuff consistent with catching and playing football”) he’s a perfect prospect subject only to the risk and attrition that all catchers are.This is nitpicky, but May’s leg kick can make him slow to home and he can be vulnerable to stolen bases as a result, which forces him to vary his cadence home in an attempt to stymie runners. Power, speed, arm strength, and flashy defense are all here, and Garcia has a chance to be a star if his approach isn’t his undoing.Eric Longenhagen is from Catasauqua, PA and currently lives in Tempe, AZ.
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